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Friday Morning Open Thread | 235 comments (235 topical)
New PA Poll by Insider Advantage (5.00 / 0) (#29)
by JoeA on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 05:47:34 AM EST
from politicalwire

IA Poll: Pennsylvania Now a Statistical Tie
The latest InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion poll in Pennsylvania shows Sen. Hillary Clinton clinging to a 2-point lead over Sen. Barack Obama, 45% to 43% with 12% undecided.

With a margin of error of +/- 3.7%, the race is a statistical tie.

Said pollster Matt Towery: "This could be the beginning of the end of the Clinton campaign. The crosstabs show Obama trailing among white voters, but by only a 49%-40% margin. More importantly, Obama has a lead among African-American voters of 56%-29%, with the remainder undecided.
 

If this poll is even close to correct,  and its showing the race within 2% with Obama only leading 56-29 amongst A/A,  then Hillary is in all sorts of trouble as Obama's A/A vote will end up closer to 85%.

I feel the same excitement (none / 0) (#46)
by Kathy on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 07:59:01 AM EST
I did when the polls were showing a Kerry shoo-in!

[ Parent ]
Obamamentum!!! (none / 0) (#151)
by JoeA on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:49:51 AM EST
The danger for Obama of course is that he closes, and even pulls ahead slightly in the polls and then underperforms.  i.e. He could lose by 5 which many would currentl view as a great result and possibly enough to virtually end the contest,  but due to changing expectations it could end up as a disappointment ,   see CA, NH, Texas, Ohio etc.

[ Parent ]

Friday Morning Open Thread | 235 comments (235 topical)

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