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Track record (5.00 / 1) (#43)
by Grey on Tue Apr 15, 2008 at 11:07:27 AM EST
SUSA has proved itself over the primaries, so it's the poll that carries the most water with me.

As a Clinton supporter, I'd say she needs something like a 8-9 point spread to make a dent in the popular vote and to shut up the bellyaching for a while, but probably something closer to 10-11 or more to send a message.

I hope SUSA's numbers are a correct reflection of the state of the race, and I hope they'll hold up.


Media spin (none / 0) (#52)
by waldenpond on Tue Apr 15, 2008 at 11:31:48 AM EST
has moved in her favor on this.  It used to be she needed a blowout of 20 pts.  Now... she needs double digits.  She's up against massive amounts of money though.  

Can hardly wait for the actual vote. Are we there yet?  Are we there yet? Are we there yet?

[ Parent ]

Who knows? (none / 0) (#57)
by felizarte on Tue Apr 15, 2008 at 11:42:54 AM EST
Perhaps the word has already come down from Mt. Olympus to mortal punditocracy that it is o.k. not to go negative on Clinton anymore.  Wallstreet and other world markets are getting nervous about the global economic mess.  With Obama or McCain, it can only mean a minimum of two years of bumbling about, huffin' and puffin'; and the mess keeps getting worse and more and more ordinary people get hurt.

[ Parent ]
I don't know (none / 0) (#79)
by kayla on Tue Apr 15, 2008 at 02:26:48 PM EST
They could be preparing a narrative where his big loss in PA is all due to Hillary's negative tactics.  She was gaining back momentum, according to SUSA, before clingate (or whatever we're calling it) but if SUSA turns out to be right, and she wins PA by double digits, prepare to see Keith and Chris shame Hillary for damagaging Obama for the GE.

[ Parent ]

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