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Clinton doesn't need to sweep (5.00 / 1) (#48)
by diplomatic on Wed Mar 26, 2008 at 11:20:11 PM EST
Winning Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Indiana and Puerto Rico by big enough margins might be enough, depending on how the "feel of things" plays out.

We can sit here making predictions and speculating until the cows come home but too many things can happen.  Just think back to some of the past contests and how the spin looked before the voting took place and how the race felt the day after.


[ Parent ]

Well sure (none / 0) (#69)
by flyerhawk on Wed Mar 26, 2008 at 11:43:46 PM EST
if she wins PA by 25 points and Indiana by 25 points she probably doesn't need to sweep.  But that doesn't seem very likely.  

As it stands right now it would appear that NC and PA are going to be very close to a push.   WV only has 28 delegates so even a big win there isn't going to get her much.  Maybe 4 or 5 delegates?  Indiana has 72 so they could have an impact but still it is unlikely to be more than 10 delegates or so.

So mathematically it is unlikely for Hillary to catch Obama.  So she needs a strong narrative to carry the day.  If she and Obama split the remaining states, more or less, then she won't have that.

Puerto Rico is valuable because of it's delegates but it won't help the narrative since they don't actually vote in the general election.

[ Parent ]

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