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Self Interest | 210 comments (210 topical)
I think Florida is like (none / 0) (#32)
by MKS on Mon Mar 24, 2008 at 07:51:21 PM EST
the Republicans and New Jersey: tantalizingly close but really out of reach.  In 2000, Florida was close most likely because Lieberman was on the ticket.....

Michigan should come around in the Fall for the Democrats.

[ Parent ]

Except it's not (5.00 / 2) (#45)
by andgarden on Mon Mar 24, 2008 at 07:58:55 PM EST
Clinton win in 1996 and AHEM Gore won in 2000. SUSA says Hillary has a very good chance to win there.

Here's a fun game for you: find me a reasonable scenario where a Republican or a Democrat can win the election when the other candidate has won FL, OH, and PA.

[ Parent ]

Do you really believe Obama could lose (none / 0) (#53)
by Teresa on Mon Mar 24, 2008 at 08:01:40 PM EST
PA in November? If so, why? The Wright stuff?

[ Parent ]
Yes and yes (5.00 / 2) (#57)
by andgarden on Mon Mar 24, 2008 at 08:05:01 PM EST
Though race WAS a problem before. My Governor may often stick his foot in his mouth, but he frequently tells the truth.

[ Parent ]
Obama would lose anyway in PA. (none / 0) (#162)
by sas on Mon Mar 24, 2008 at 09:20:40 PM EST
was going to lose PA, regardless of the Wright stuff.

PA is the second or third oldest state in the nation, and older voters don't like him much. They do not find him inspiring. They've heard the change/hope argument so many times before from other politicians.  They want specifics.

There are alot of working class whites here who do not identify with Obama.  The college educated group is split basically down the middle, and young people are about even for the candidates.

PA is Ohio squared.

He would have lost here by 10 before the Wright thing, but now he'll probably lose by fifteen.

[ Parent ]

Self Interest | 210 comments (210 topical)

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