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Final California Delegate Numbers Out | 68 comments (68 topical)

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Cal went for Clinton (5.00 / 1) (#45)
by Bob In Pacifica on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 09:38:42 AM EST
the same way a lot of places went for Clinton early on. She was the best-known candidate. Obama was relatively unknown. A lot of people voted early for Clinton. Some people who would have voted for Obama when Edwards dropped out had already voted.

Nevertheless, Clinton won the state. I don't know what the vote would be today, I suspect that Obama would close the gap like he's done in every other state since Super Tuesday. No matter. Whoever is the Dem candidate will win Cali.

And Ohio and Texas went for Clinton, the same way (none / 0) (#65)
by ChrisO on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 12:51:42 PM EST
a lot of places went for Clinton later on. The fact is, late deciders in California broke for Clinton. I really have trouble with this notion that Obama would win every election if he only had enough time. I really think this stems from the fact that a lot of Obama supporters consider Hillary to somehow be an illegitimate candidate, as evidenced by the many references to her "low information" supporters. Many Obama people just can't fathom how a voter who knew what he or she was doing would prefer Hillary over him.

The notion that Hillary had some huge name recognition factor by Super Tuesday is unsupported by reality. How is it that he only had low name recognition in the states that he lost? There had been many debates, tons of news coverage and he had scored several impressive victories, not to mention the breathless media covergae of his rallies. There was speculation that Super Tuesday could be the end of Hillary, but now we're supposed to believe that Obama was some plucky underdog? I don't buy it.

Hillary started the campaign with much higher name recognition, and a big lead in the polls. But polls that far out are extremely unreliable, and Obama proved to be an attractive candidate and good campaigner. All credit to him for tightening up the polls, but many Obama supporters seem to think the polls are on some infinite trend line that would eventually lead to him getting 100 percent of the vote, if we only wait long enough.

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Final California Delegate Numbers Out | 68 comments (68 topical)

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