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Obama as the Next McGovern? | 198 comments (198 topical)
Again... (5.00 / 1) (#28)
by mindfulmission on Sat Feb 16, 2008 at 07:07:28 PM EST
... I know that Obama has a large advantage in the caucus states.

But he also also won more primary states, more closed primary states, more red states, more blue states, more red state delegates, and more blue state delegates.

Further... as someone else pointed out, McGovern won MA, CA, TX, and NY.  

So I really don't see the Obama comparisons.  

[ Parent ]

The question is about (5.00 / 1) (#46)
by badger on Sat Feb 16, 2008 at 07:20:06 PM EST
how deep Obama's support is among potential Democratic voters, and caucuses measure that very poorly. The weaker is support is the easier it'll be for the GOP to define him however they want.

I assume you mean McG won those states in the primaries, because he only won MA and DC in the GE, and lost the popular vote 60-38. And if McG did win those primaries, it should underscore the fact that Obama's wins in red states (primaries or caucuses) aren't very meaningful either.

There isn't anyone who's going to tell you that Obama will or won't be exactly like McG in '72, but it's something worth considering, and something a lot of Obama supporters refuse to think about. There isn't an easy answer though, and there isn't much good evidence either way.

I think the WI primary result might be helpful in looking at the question.

[ Parent ]

Obama as the Next McGovern? | 198 comments (198 topical)

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