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Condi Rice Visits Beirut | 110 comments (110 topical)
Re: Condi Rice Visits Beirut (none / 0) (#15)
by chew2 on Mon Jul 24, 2006 at 12:52:41 PM EST
TL
Will any Arab nations ever agree to take down Hezbollah? Can Israel do it by itself? Should it keep trying?
Colonel Pat Lang, a cogent military analyst, says no, unless they undertake a bloody ground assault.
-Air Power and artillery will not decisively defeat Hizballah or force it to withdraw from rocket range of Israel. -The Lebanese government and army are not what the Israelis have once again dreamt of and they should have known that. The policy that Israel is following is truly a triumph of hope over experience. -An international force that will fight Hizballah in the south to disarm it is a pipe dream. Who will do that? The only realistic candidate would be France in terms of military capacity. This would be a major irony of history. Bottom Line Advice for Israel: Occupy the ground or expect to suffer the effects of failure."
Now, I "get it Colonel Ralph Peters, a rabid right wing military analyst thinks Israel is losing the war. You can't win by air bombing no matter how many civilians you kill. Even if Israel invades, it probably cannot destroy Hezbollah completely without destroying the Lebanese polity and society, or prevent it from rearming. It will simply go back to guerilla warfare. So some negotiated settlement is the wisest course. But how does the US or Israel negotiate with them without loosing face?

Condi Rice Visits Beirut | 110 comments (110 topical)

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